Disclaimer

Do your own due diligence first before investing. The writer will not be responsible for any capital loss as a result of reading this blog.

Monday, January 21, 2008

Asia Stocks Sink Amid US Recession Fears

Monday January 21, 6:08 am ET
By Carl Freire, Associated Press Writer

Asian Markets Plunge Amid Pessimism Over US Stimulus Plan; Nikkei Sheds 3.9 Percent

TOKYO (AP) -- Asian stock markets plunged Monday following declines on Wall Street last week amid investor pessimism over the U.S. government's stimulus plan to prevent a recession.

India's benchmark stock index was down a stunning 10.9 percent in afternoon trading, while Hong Kong's blue-chip Hang Seng index plummeted 5.5 percent, its biggest percentage drop since the Sept. 11, 2001, terror attacks.

Investors dumped shares because they were skeptical about an economic stimulus plan President George W. Bush announced Friday. The plan, which requires approval by Congress, calls for about $145 billion worth of tax relief to encourage consumer spending.

Concern about the U.S. economy, a major export market for Asian companies, has sent Asian markets sliding in 2008.

"It's another horrible day," said Francis Lun, a general manager at Fulbright Securities in Hong Kong. "Today it's because of disappointment that the U.S. stimulus (package) is too little, too late and investors feel it won't help the economy recover."

My Thoughts

STI fell 6.03%, worst decline ever seen since when I started investing last year.

The blue-chip Straits Times Index dived 187.10 points to 2,917.15, falling below the psychologically important 3,000-point level to a five-month low.

Would encouraging more consumer spending help to revive the economy?

I remembered clearly taking economics in my A levels class. GDP=C+I+G+(X-M). My teacher Mr Pillai(very good teacher) mentioned that C(consumption expenditure) constitutes a very large percentage of GDP in the US economy. Basically the US economy is stimulated by large consumer spending, so might Bush's policies work? Short term maybe, by generating more income for companies, but not long term. The policy might even increase more credit card debts and more write downs for banks! People might say "if can I default my mortgage payments, should I also stop paying my credit bills too?"

Solution?

The problem is a lot more complicated than we thought, so to find a solution is not that simple. Saving criticism for comments later, I would like to advise the Bush administration. They should hammer down hard on those who default mortgage payments. Make them sell their cars, houses and assets, anything that can exchange into cash. No house to live? Rent a room or build tent. Still can't pay? Extend their debt payments and impose laws to allocate a % of their income to pay back the debt. I feel that Bush is not focusing into the problem, which is the mortgage defaulters.

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